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Abstract During the Middle Miocene Climate Transition (MMCT; ∼14.7–13.8 Ma), the global climate experienced rapid cooling, leading to modern‐like temperatures, precipitation patterns, and permanent ice sheets. However, proxy records indicate that atmospheric pCO2and regional climate conditions (SST, ice volume) were highly variable from 17 to 12.5 Ma and these changes were not always synchronous. Here, we report on a series of middle Miocene (∼16–12.5 Ma) simulations using the water isotope enabled earth system model (iCESM1.2) to explore the potential for multiple equilibrium states to explain the observed decoupling between pCO2and regional climates. Our simulations indicate that initial ocean conditions can significantly influence deep water formation in the North Atlantic and lead to multiple ocean equilibria. When the model is initiated from a cold state, residual cool surface water temperatures in the North Atlantic intensify Atlantic Meridional Ocean Circulation (AMOC) and inhibit Arctic sea‐ice formation. When initiated from a warm state, the AMOC remains weak. The different ocean states drive differences in equator‐to‐pole sea surface temperature gradients and sea ice distributions through heat redistribution changes. These equilibria cause variations in temperature gradients and sea ice distribution due to changes in heat redistribution. Additionally, changes in ocean circulation and a reduced temperature gradient in the North Atlantic increase North Atlantic precipitation when the AMOC is strong. These findings underscore the importance of the ocean's initial state in shaping regional climate responses to atmospheric pCO2, potentially explaining regional climate pattern variability observed during the Miocene.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available May 1, 2026
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Variability in resource availability is hypothesized to be a significant driver of primate adaptation and evolution, but most paleoclimate proxies cannot recover environmental seasonality on the scale of an individual lifespan. Oxygen isotope compositions (δ 18 O values) sampled at high spatial resolution in the dentitions of modern African primates ( n = 2,352 near weekly measurements from 26 teeth) track concurrent seasonal precipitation, regional climatic patterns, discrete meteorological events, and niche partitioning. We leverage these data to contextualize the first δ 18 O values of two 17 Ma Afropithecus turkanensis individuals from Kalodirr, Kenya, from which we infer variably bimodal wet seasons, supported by rainfall reconstructions in a global Earth system model. Afropithecus ’ δ 18 O fluctuations are intermediate in magnitude between those measured at high resolution in baboons ( Papio spp.) living across a gradient of aridity and modern forest-dwelling chimpanzees ( Pan troglodytes verus ). This large-bodied Miocene ape consumed seasonally variable food and water sources enriched in 18 O compared to contemporaneous terrestrial fauna ( n = 66 fossil specimens). Reliance on fallback foods during documented dry seasons potentially contributed to novel dental features long considered adaptations to hard-object feeding. Developmentally informed microsampling recovers greater ecological complexity than conventional isotope sampling; the two Miocene apes ( n = 248 near weekly measurements) evince as great a range of seasonal δ 18 O variation as more time-averaged bulk measurements from 101 eastern African Plio-Pleistocene hominins and 42 papionins spanning 4 million y. These results reveal unprecedented environmental histories in primate teeth and suggest a framework for evaluating climate change and primate paleoecology throughout the Cenozoic.more » « less
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